KERES - Protecting cultural assets from extreme climate events and increasing resilience

Cultural heritage in a changing climate

Simulation heat load Sanssouci Palace Park
© Fraunhofer IBP
Sanssouci Palace Park - input data for the PALM-4U simulation (left) and simulated heat load on a hot summer's day (right).

Cultural assets are critical socio-cultural infrastructures whose services contribute to Germany's economic development and competitiveness and promote the community. However, the increase in extreme weather events due to climate change poses a threat to these infrastructures, such as historic buildings & gardens and cultural landscapes. The BMBF-SiFo project “KERES” therefore studied future extreme weather events and their effects on our cultural heritage in Germany, and used models to examine these scenarios.

Project goals

Based on five case studies, the aim of the KERES project was to investigate and visualize future changes in the occurrence of extreme weather events and the associated risk and potential extent of damage to cultural heritage, its vulnerability as well as prevention and adaptation measures. A data platform was developed as an early warning system and aid for stakeholders in the cultural heritage sector, enabling them to assess the risk for their own properties or objects and recommending decision-making aids and concrete measures based on empirical knowledge from case studies.  Historic buildings and monuments as well as gardens and cultural landscapes in the various climate zones of Germany were taken into account.

Project results

Predictions of the regional relevance of future extreme weather events and natural disasters were made for the five case studies in the project as a basis for assessing the risk of future damage to cultural heritage due to extreme weather events. They illustrate probable local changes in the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events in the middle and at the end of the 21st century. At the same time, risk maps showing the effects of specific extreme weather events (heat loads in outdoor spaces and extreme wind events) were drawn up for selected case studies using hygrothermal building and urban climate simulations, thus substantiating the local risk for a property or object. In addition to this risk assessment, recommendations for preventive and protective measures were drafted: A catalog of measures for protecting and adapting typical regional construction methods and building types and for protecting and adapting historic gardens and parks was drawn up from each of the case studies. Furthermore, a façade protection system was developed specifically for half-timbered buildings. The KERES knowledge platform, which is based on a proprietary ontology, was developed to store and semantically link all relevant data.

Case study-related Climate Fact Sheets (CFS) were created as part of the project to provide a highly extensive and comprehensible overview. The fact sheets contain standardized information on future regional risks to cultural heritage from extreme weather events, taking possible uncertainties into account. Furthermore, a case study climate fact sheet (climate fact sheets for vulnerable historic buildings) was developed, containing additional information on location, history, materials, vulnerability and specific risks, organizational and structural measures already implemented and concepts for developing ways of adapting cultural heritage to future climate changes. In order to raise awareness of the risks posed by extreme weather events and to initiate prevention and adaptation processes, the Future Workshop concept was developed, in which measures and strategies for specific properties are devised together with stakeholders.

Project partners

  • Fraunhofer Institute for Silicate Research ISC / Fraunhofer Office Brussels
  • Fraunhofer Institute for Optronics, System Technologies and Image Exploitation IOSB
  • Fraunhofer Center for International Management and Knowledge Economy IMW
  • Climate Service Center Germany (GERICS) - a facility of the Helmholtz-Zentrum Hereon
  • Stiftung Preußische Schlösser und Gärten Berlin-Brandenburg (SPSG)
Simulated wind flow Cologne Cathedral
© Fraunhofer IBP
Cologne Cathedral - Wind flow from the south simulated with PALM-4U showing the flow lines in the vicinity of the cathedral.
Simulation Model Fraunberg Chapel Sufferloh
© Fraunhofer IBP
Fraunberg Chapel Sufferloh - view of the chapel (left) and simulation model in WUFI® Plus (right).